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Sep 9, 2022Liked by Marko Marjanović

So … do we think the AFU were being smart in Kharkov at the same time they were being foolish in Kherson? Or is the Kherson action intelligible as a feint or something?

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Does this mean Russian will be soon forced into using conscripts?

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Sep 10, 2022·edited Sep 10, 2022

The late Romans had a system of mobile central reserves behind frontier lines which were held only by lightly armed garrisons. There was one such Reserve in Gallia Belgica, one in what we call now Burgundy, a beefy one watching the Danube near Sirmium the current Belgrade, others in modern Bulgaria, Syria and Jordan. These defence nuclei, mostly composed of cavalry, would fall upon any invader who managed to breach the frontier, once he's deep enough in friendly territory.

The Ukrainians don't seem serious enough to attack synchronously on multiple points of the front with aim of collapsing it. They only attempt token assaults to look good and get foreign funding. Hence perhaps the ancient Roman defensive stratagem would have benefited the Russians in their current predicament: one mobile reserve group in Kherson, another in Melitopol to watch the Southern front, then one in Belgorod and one in Kupiansk protecting the Karkhov front.

I don't think they would have to watch out for missile attacks aimed at these troop concentrations either, Ukrainians can't strike at long range anymore.

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«the rural folk in Ukraine would refer to themselves as “Rusyn” [...] Ethnic Russians meanwhile refer to themselves as Russkiy»

I think there are actually 3 (or 4) nowadays: a tiny "rusyn" minority in the Carpathians, the "ruthenians" in western Ukraine, the russian-speaking "ukrainians" in central Ukraine, and the russians (called "muscovites" or "kastaps" by the ruthenians) in east and south Ukraine. I think that both the central, eastern, south people used to refer to themselves as "russkiy" whatever their nationality.

All the troubles are created by the "ruthenians" who want to recreate the great Kingdom of Ruthenia or the lithuanian-ruthenian-polish empire (with them on top this time, not the poles).

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